当心！气候、水以及天气预警系统

1　Introduction Interest in Early Warning The Precautionary Principle as an Early Warning The Future Has Arrived Earlier Than Predicted What Constitutes an Early Warning System?　Threats　Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Constraints Assessment　Perception of the Role of EWSs　The Reality of the Role of EWSs　Surprises　Early Warning System FAQs　Forecast Warning Terminology　Geographic Information Systems2　Climate, Water and Weather Related Hazards　Hurricanes

1　Introduction Interest in Early Warning The Precautionary Principle as an Early Warning The Future Has Arrived Earlier Than Predicted What Constitutes an Early Warning System?　Threats　Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Constraints Assessment　Perception of the Role of EWSs　The Reality of the Role of EWSs　Surprises　Early Warning System FAQs　Forecast Warning Terminology　Geographic Information Systems2　Climate, Water and Weather Related Hazards　Hurricanes　Severe Winter Storms　Superstorm '93: North America and the Caribbean　Are Seasons of Superstorms a Possibility?　Heat Waves　European Heat Wave 2003　Tornadoes　Nor'easters　El NiSo-Southern Oscillation　Vector-Borne Disease　Severe Weather　Fire Danger Index　Anatomy of Australian Bush Fires　Air Pollution in Metropolitan Areas　Dust and Sandstorm Early Warning3　Too Much, Too Little　Floods　China's 1998 Great Yangtze River Floods　Flash Floods　Thunderstorms　Drought　NOAA's Palmer Drought Severity Index　Drought in Africa　Australia Monitoring for Drought Early Warning　Drought in Latin America4　Global Warming　Global Warming　The Polar Regions: A "plate" as an Early Warning about Global Warming　Coral Reef Bleaching　Sea-Level Rise　Integrated Vector Management5　Earth Hazards　Tsunamis　Indian Ocean Tsunami 2004　Volcano Early Warning Systems　Space Weather　U.S. Ultraviolet Forecasts6 Concluding Thoughts Foreseeability of Hazards Lessons Learned about "Lessons Learned",ReferencesEssential References for Early Warning Systems

本书讨论气候、水以及天气预警系统。今天世界上有许多运作着的预警系统在为公众、政府和企业提供有关天灾人祸的预警信息，其中主要是有关气候、水与天气的紧急灾害预警信息。 不分国家与地区、不论贫富，当今全球各地均有许多灾害和潜在威胁比人们所预想的要早得多的发生了，如极地冰盖加速缩小、全球变暖——暖冬炎夏频发，海平面增长，沿海陆地缩小，城市污染与热岛效应，干旱、土壤荒漠化，森林大火，洪水，飓风、龙卷风，传染病，厄尔尼诺等等，这其中有气候与人类活动交互作用的效果。探究天灾人祸的幕后原因和规律，构筑有用、可用、可信和可靠的灾害预警系统能够极大地帮助和保护人类。