仿真建模与分析

Chapter 1 Basic Simulation Modeling

1.1 The Nature of Simulation

1.2 Systems， Models， and Simulation

1.3 Discrete-Event Simulation

1.3.1 Time-Advance Mechanisms

1.3.2 Components and Organization of a Discrete-Event Simulation Model

1.4 Simulation of a Single-Server Queueing System

1.4.1 Problem Statement

1.4.2 Intuitive Explanation

1.4.3 Program Organization and Logic

1.4.4 C Program

1.4.5 Simulation Output and Discussion

1.4.6 Alternative Stopping Rules

1.4.7 Determining the Events and Variables

1.5 Simulation of an Inventory System

1.5.1 Problem Statement

1.5.2 Program Organization and Logic

1.5.3 C Program

1.5.4 Simulation Output and Discussion

1.6 Steps in a Sound Simulation Study

1.7 Other Types of Simulation

1.7.1 Continuous Simulation

1.7.2 Combined Discrete-Continuous Simulation

1.7.3 Monte Carlo Simulation

1.8 Advantages， Disadvantages， and Pitfalls of Simulation

Appendix 1A： A Primer on Queueing Systems

1A.1 Components of a Queueing System

1A.2 Notation for Queueing Systems

1A.3 Measures of Performance for Queueing Systems

Problems

Chapter 2 Modeling Complex Systems

2.1 Introduction

2.2 List Processing in Simulation

2.2.1 Approaches to Storing Lists in a Computer

2.2.2 Linked Storage Allocation

2.3 A Simple Simulation Language： simlib

2.4 Single-Server Queueing Simulation with simlib

2.4.1 Problem Statement

2.4.2 simlib Program

2.4.3 Simulation Output and Discussion

2.5 Time-Shared Computer Model

2.5.1 Problem Statement

2.5.2 simlib Program

2.5.3 Simulation Output and Discussion

2.6 Multiteller Bank With Jockeying

2.6.1 Problem Statement

2.6.2 simlib Program

2.6.3 Simulation Output and Discussion

2.7 Job-Shop Model

2.7.1 Problem Statement

2.7.2 simlib Program

2.7.3 Simulation Output and Discussion

2.8 Efficient Event-List Manipulation

Appendix 2A： C Code for simlib

Problems

Chapter 3 Simulation Software

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Comparison of Simulation Packages with Programming Languages

3.3 Classification of Simulation Software

3.3.1 General-Purpose vs. Application-Oriented Simulation Packages

3.3.2 Modeling Approaches

3.3.3 Common Modeling Elements

3.4 Desirable Software Features

3.4.1 General Capabilities

3.4.2 Hardware and Software Requirements

3.4.3 Animation and Dynamic Graphics

3.4.4 Statistical Capabilities

3.4.5 Customer Support and Documentation

3.4.6 Output Reports and Graphics

3.5 General-Purpose Simulation Packages

3.5.1 Arena

3.5.2 Extend

3.5.3 Other General-Purpose Simulation Packages

3.6 Object-Oriented Simulation

Chapter 4 Review of Basic Probability and Statistics

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Random Variables and Their Properties

4.3 Simulation Output Data and Stochastic Processes

4.4 Estimation of Means， Variances， and Correlations

4.5 Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests for the Mean

4.6 The Strong Law of Large Numbers

4.7 The Danger of Replacing a Probability Distribution by its Mean

Appendix 4A： Comments on Covariance-Stationary Processes

Problems

Chapter 5 Building Valid， Credible， and Appropriately Detailed Simulation Models

5.1 Introduction and Definitions

5.2 Guidelines for Determining the Level of Model Detail

5.3 Verification of Simulation Computer Programs

5.4 Techniques for Increasing Model Validity and Credibility

5.4.1 Collect High-Quality Information an Data on the System

5.4. Interact with the Manager on a Regular Basis

5.4.3 Maintain a Written Assumptions Document and Perform a Structured Walk-Through

5.4.4 Validate Components of the Model by Using Quantitative Techniques

5.4.5 Validate the Output from the Overall Simulation Model

5.4.6 Animation

5.5 Managements Role in the Simulation Process

5.6 Statistical Procedures for Comparing Real-World Observations and Simulation Output Data

5.6.1 Inspection Approach

5.6.2 Confidence-Interval Approach Based on Independent Data

……

Chapter 8 Generating Random Variates

Chapter 9 Output Data Anlaysis for a Single System

Chapter 10 Comparing Alternative System Configurations

Chapter 11 Variance-Reduction Techniques

Chapter 12 Experimental Design and Optimization

Chapter 13 Simulation of Manufacturing Systems

Appendix

References

　　《仿真建模与分析（第4版）（清华版双语教学用书）》自1982年首次出版以来，在世界范围内得到广泛采用，被誉为仿真领域的“圣经”。最新版（第4版）对离散事件系统仿真研究的所有重要方面给出了综合性的最新论述，包括建模。仿真软件、模型校验和确认。输入建模，随机数发生器。随机变量与随机过程的产生。统计设计与仿真实验分析，以及像制造这一类主要工业领域的应用等。